Dispute Database / ufc-padilla
UFC 327: Padilla vs Mederos winner
Kalshi Disclosure timing · 2026-04 · notional unreported · status: resolved
What happened
Padilla was announced winner; Kalshi paid accordingly. The commission then corrected scorecard errors → a draw (which pays 50/50 under the rules) — but the correction came after expiration, so the initial, incorrect result stood.
Resolution outcome
Initial decision stood; settlement diverged permanently from the official sporting record.
The drafting lesson
Correction windows matter as much as sources. A settlement can be final and wrong at the same time.
Failure type — Disclosure timing: The event happened, but confirmation landed outside the market window — or the window itself was read in conflicting ways.
Sources
Verification-log discipline: every case in this database carries published sources with dates; nothing is graded from memory.