Dispute Database / strategy-btc
Strategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Polymarket Disclosure timing · 2026-06 · $85.0M ($60M+ (Defiant) to $85M (wider event tally)) · status: resolved
What happened
Strategy's 8-K (filed June 1) disclosed 32 BTC sold May 26–31 — inside the window — but the disclosure landed after the 11:59 PM ET May 31 cutoff. Polymarket ruled 'confirmation achieved outside of the market's timeframe does not qualify.' Two 'No' proposals were disputed to a UMA token vote.
Resolution outcome
Resolved No via UMA DVM (98.6% of 607 voters); four wallets out-weighed the entire Yes side >25x.
The drafting lesson
Event-time vs disclosure-time is the sharpest timing trap in rules language. RuleScore checks which clock a market runs on.
Failure type — Disclosure timing: The event happened, but confirmation landed outside the market window — or the window itself was read in conflicting ways.
Sources
Verification-log discipline: every case in this database carries published sources with dates; nothing is graded from memory.